俄罗斯和西方在乌克兰的对弈

时间:2016-02-23 09:50:33  / 编辑:Abby
   LONDON — Following Russia's annexation ofCrimea, the West is trying to work out what theKremlin's next move will be. Both the UnitedStates and Britain have expressed concernabout Russia's troop buildup on the Ukrainianborder. President Vladimir Putin's strategy hasbecome an increasingly tense geopolitical chessgame between East and West.

  Russian troops are trying to destabilize Ukraine,claim U.S. and British officials.

  But Russia's foreign minister says that is not case.

  "We are deeply convinced and nobody has so far challenged this conviction, that the situationcannot be calmed down and changed into national dialogue if the Ukrainian authorities go onignoring the interests of the southeastern regions of the country," said Sergei Lavrov.

  Moscow now has thousands of troops massed along its border with eastern Ukraine. Andalthough it insists it has no intention of invading, Moscow says it reserves the right to defendethnic Russians in the country.

  Analyst Irina Tymczyszyn says Russia has a very clear mandate.

  “The Russian strategy appears to be to restore the Soviet union   as it was before thecollapse, before 1991, and possibly more. I think Putin considers himself to be the collector ofRussian lands, and by Russia he unfortunately means countries like the Ukraine, because Russiahas not recognized to date Ukraine as a separate state," said Tymczyszyn.

  In Kyiv, a meeting between the parliament and communist deputies ended in a scuffle,highlighting the high level of tensions within the country’s borders.

  "Pre-planned and coordinated provocation against our country has started. It was organizedby the intelligence services in the Russian Federation," said Acting Ukrainian PresidentOleksandr Turchynov.

  But the head of the Communist Party in Ukraine countered that comment, blaming inaction byUkrainian officials who they say ignored the needs of the people.

  "The most important thing is to answer the question what exactly the Ukrainian authorities didin order to prevent these events in the asset," said Petro Symonenko. "Let’s start withanalyzing the demands of the citizens - who remain the people of Ukraine - living in Luhansk,Donetsk and other regions they came to the streets with, and what rights they want todefend?

  In the flashpoint town of Kharkiv in eastern Ukraine, residents also remain split.

  "We demand a referendum. And the gang which is now meeting at the parliament should notimpose their opinion on us," said a protester.

  "The situation we have in Kharkiv now is being escalated solely by the Russian side. It is inRussia’s interest to return Kharkiv, Donetsk and Luhansk under its control, it is in its interest,"said another.

  Analyst Tymczyszyn agrees:

  "Right now, the West is sending a message which is very different, just indicating consistentquiet dismay over Putin’s actions. For him, it means he can go ahead and do as he pleasesbecause he does not feel the response will be sufficiently damaging to him," she said.

  But the political chess game continues to be played out on the border of Ukraine and Russiawith no clear winner in sight. Though analysts say it is clear that Putin is determined to be thevictor, and likely before the May 25th elections in Ukraine.

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