STATE DEPARTMENT— U.S. Secretary of StateJohn Kerry travels to Jordan Tuesday for talkson building an international alliance againstIslamic State militants who control parts ofSyria and Iraq. reports on what that instabilitymeans for Jordan.
Jordan is looking for help from the United States toprevent Syria's civil war from spilling across theborder, with U.S. officials discussing better aerialsurveillance and more training for Jordanian specialoperations forces.
Jordanian King Abdullah met with President Barack Obama at the NATO summit in Wales lastweek to discuss the Syrian war and the rise of Islamic State militants. The militants’ brutalconquest of swaths of Syria and Iraq has heightened security concerns in Jordan, said SteveHeydemann, an analyst for the U.S. Institute of Peace, an independent, government-fundedinstitution in Washington.
FILE - U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, left, meets with Jordan's King Abdullah atAl-Hummar Palace in Amman Jan. 5, 2014.
"The threat level that Jordan confronts has increased, and it is taking measures to tighten itscontrol over borders, to tighten its control over local sympathizers of ISIS," Heydemann said.
Cleric inspires militants
Security officials say many young militants are inspired by Muslim cleric Abu Qatada, who wasextradited from Britain last year. Jordan has postponed his trial on charges of plotting toattack tourists at New Year celebrations in 2000 but previously convicted him for conspiring toattack U.S. targets in Jordan.
Heydemann says Jordan's long-standing ties with Europe and the United States make it a moredifficult target for Islamic State leaders looking to expand beyond Syria and Iraq.
The country "has a far more effective military. It has very close security relationships with theUnited States,” Heydemann said. "It is seen as, in some respects, … a ‘red line,’ which if ISISwere to cross it might trigger much more extensive U.S. and Western intervention."
Refugees strain security
Complicating Jordanian security–and stretching government resources–are hundreds ofthousands of refugees from Syria and Iraq, says former U.S. ambassador Adam Ereli.
"Twenty percent of the population is refugees," Ereli said. "That's not a good situation to bein. So I'm worried about Jordan."
Jordanian authorities have so far kept that refugee crisis from undermining internal security.
But those strains will only grow worse the longer conflicts in Syria and Iraq continue, saysanalyst Nora Bensahel.
She said Jordan has been getting international support, including the United Nations’ very activehelp with the refugee situation. But, she wondered how long the country could withstand thestrain.
"The answer has been for a long time: more than we might have expected," Bensahel said. "Butat some point, that will no longer continue to be true."
Continuing to address the refugee crisis and safeguard Jordan's borders will remain importantto keep King Abdullah in a coalition against the Islamic State extremists.
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